Will Spacex's Starship complete one full loop of the earth before July 2022?
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Starship is having its first orbital flight. It's currently scheduled for March 22 though it has been delayed before. https://www.space.com/spacex-starship-orbital-test-flight-faa-delay-march The plan is to launch it atop Super Heavy and have it complete a loop of the earth before splashing down. There might be time for multiple launches before resolution. This market will resolve to "Yes" on the day an intact Starship completes a loop of the earth, even if it something goes wrong on reentry or splashdown. If not, it will resolve "No".
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The plan for the first launch is for Starship not to enter orbit but to make a 3/4 loop around the Earth (launch from Texas, land near Hawaii) so at least 1 more launch will be necessary for this to be resolved YES in my opinion.
https://manifold.markets/DavidLabrique/will-starship-reach-orbit-by-the-en

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