Will China have over 10,000 COVID-19 cases per day at the end of February 2022?
Mini
6
Ṁ4.5kMar 1
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Related metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9053/new-covid-19-cases-in-mainland-china/
I'll resolve this on or around March 15 by taking an average of the last 7 days of February for "China" on https://ourworldindata.org/covid-cases.
Jan 14, 7:18pm: #China #Covid #CovidZero
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
I'm out of M$ but seems like this should still be much lower based on related markets like https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9053/new-covid-19-cases-in-mainland-china/
Related questions
Related questions
[ACX2024] Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?
72% chance
Will China report more than 100,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases for any single day before May 2022?
36% chance
Will at least 75% of the USA COVID-19 cases between 1/1/22 and 2/28/23 occur between 1/1/22 and 2/28/22?
48% chance
Will there be a new COVID variant with an impact greater than Omicron in 2022 or 2023?
46% chance
"Will there be more than 25 million confirmed COVID cases in China by the end of 2023?"
31% chance
Will there be over 200 Ukrainian Military deaths by the end of March 2022
42% chance
"Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022?"
45% chance
Will Chinese economic growth drop below the upper middle-income GDP growth average in any year before 2031?
46% chance
Will China not reopen its borders in the first half of 2022?
61% chance
"Will the Shanghai index of Chinese stocks go up over 2023?"
58% chance