Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as "Yes" if, on November 5, 2024:

Donald Trump has been officially removed or blocked from the general election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office (President, Senate, House of Representatives) under the grounds of Section 3 of the 14th Amendment.

The removal or block is confirmed through official state government announcements, court decisions, legal documentation, or credible media reports. Speculative reports, opinion pieces, or unofficial announcements will not suffice for resolution.

The question will resolve as "No" if these conditions are not met on November 5, 2024.

Note: The question does not account for legal battles, appeals, or subsequent reversals that might occur after the mentioned date. It strictly pertains to whether Donald Trump has been removed from any state's general election ballot for a federal office under the specified grounds as of November 5, 2024. If Trump is removed or blocked from a general election ballot and then reinstated, such that as of November 5th he is not removed or blocked from any general election ballot, the question resolves negatively.

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