Is Omicron less lethal than Delta?
Mini
2
Ṁ60Jun 23
85%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'll probably resolve similar to
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/8766/omicron-variant-less-deadly-than-delta/ but accept sufficiently strong indirect evidence as well - there's concern over there that it may be hard to get definitive evidence.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
US covid cases below Delta peak by end of March
74% chance
Will there be a new COVID variant with an impact greater than Omicron in 2022 or 2023?
46% chance
In US, pandemic fades away to pre-Delta case levels or lower, with occasional flare-ups
72% chance
What will the trajectory of Covid be in the US for 2022?
Will there be a 2022 SARS-CoV-2 variant named "Upsilon"?
54% chance
#Omicron has a 100% or bigger transmission advantage in practice versus Delta
79% chance
[Metaculus] Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20...e US before July 1, 2025?
67% chance
"Will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines in 2023?"
44% chance
"Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022?"
45% chance
Will at least one country have less than 10% of people vaccinated with two shots by 11/2022?
59% chance