"Will Ukraine control the city of Luhansk at the end of 2023?"
Mini
1
Ṁ30Dec 31
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there is active fighting over the city, whoever controls the main train station (or, if destroyed, the piece of ground where the train station used to be) is counted as controlling the city.
This is question #3 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here.
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